Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin called on banks to raise rates on deposits rather than rely on cheap credit from the state. The rate for retail deposits should not be below the inflation rate, which currently is 12% sure the Minister of Finance. Bankers is not opposed to further enhance the rates on deposits, but, according to analysts, this would increase the cost of credit and stop economic growth, writes in Thursday Kommersant.
Now, according to the Minister of Finance, the average deposit rate of population below 12%, while inflation in Russia on November 7, was already at 12%. "The rates of deposits should not fall below this level, otherwise investors will pull money" - sure Kudrin.
- Raising the rates on loans will ring for companies
According to the Central Bank, says the publication, on September 1, average rates on term deposits of citizens deployed for one year, amounted to 7.6% per annum, while growth rates since the beginning of the year was 0.6 percentage points. "Sberbank, which accounts for approximately half of the market deposits, places ruble deposits of one year and one month of 7,75-8,25% per annum, VTB 24 (about 4% of the market) - under 9,5-12% per annum.
Over the past year, several times the banks raise rates on deposits. The next wave of increases was in September when the crisis began in the Russian banking system. A number of banks offers to place funds of depositors under 16% per annum (HKF Bank, Altayenergobank, "Holding Credit", "Capital Credit", Investtorgbank etc.).
Alexei Kudrin is right that inflation eats all the returns on deposits, said the newspaper. According to forecast the Bank of Russia, in response to the crisis, inflation until the end of 2008 was 13% (at the beginning of the year, the Central Bank predicted 6-7%). At the end of 2007 inflation was 11.9%. The following year, the Government of Russia has set a target to reduce inflation to 7-8,5%. According to analysts, inflation is unlikely to be able to stop if only because the devaluation of the ruble is happening. In 2009, inflation may amount to 13-15%, the analyst believes the bank "Trust" Yevgeny Nadorshin.
However, Bank of Russia, which is the regulator of the banking market, are considered suspicious if the bank offers high rates on deposits. Along with the law to increase the guarantees on deposits up to 700 dollars an amendment granting the Central Bank the right to limit the maximum value of the rates on deposits.
Raising rates to hit the credit for companies
Too Hard Bank bid has to not only the risks of the measures the governor, the experts say. In addition, by placing deposits at a rate exceeding the rate of GDP growth (12%), a depositor is obliged to pay income tax at 35% of the amount of excess.
But in 2009, due to take effect in the tax code, which will not be taxed on income on deposits, if it exceeds the rate for the discount rate TSB no more than 5%. Given the current refinancing rate (12%), banks will be able to painlessly for the borrower to raise the rate to 17%.
However, most banks still ready to borrow a higher percentage of citizens, but it will have a new appreciation of credit, for example, for legal persons, say experts.
